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INT Iraq - Stars League · Final ·

Al Karkh vs Erbil SC

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score0–1Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa25%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite46%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al KarkhErbil SC
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto60% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
25% / 30% / 46%Esito partitaVittoria ospite46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Karkh win (24.7%)Doppia ChanceX275.3%1.33
Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%Goals 2.5Sotto60%1.67
Sì 44% · No 56%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56%1.79
2.29 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
7.9 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Al Karkh win25%4.00
Pareggio30%3.33
Erbil SC win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Karkh0.83

Casa share of expected goals 36.2%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%

Erbil SC1.46

Trasferta share of expected goals 63.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Al Karkh

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Erbil SC

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vinta probability excluding draw
46%
4
Points from supplied form
13
0.83
Expected goals
1.46
Al KarkhErbil SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Karkh signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Erbil SC signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Al Karkh vs Erbil SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Karkh vinta 25%,Pareggio 30%,Erbil SC vinta 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Sopra 2.5 40% · Current selection Sotto