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INT Iraq Stars League · Final ·

Al Karkh vs Erbil SC

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score0–1Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier25%
Uavgjort30%
Borteseier46%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Vunnet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al KarkhErbil SC
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei56% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
25% / 30% / 46%KampresultatBorteseier46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Karkh win (24.7%)Dobbel sjanseX275.3%1.33
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Ja 44% · Nei 56%Begge lag scorerNei56%1.79
2.29 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
7.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Al Karkh win25%4.00
Uavgjort30%3.33
Erbil SC win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Karkh0.83

Hjemme share of expected goals 36.2%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Erbil SC1.46

Borte share of expected goals 63.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nei 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Al Karkh

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Erbil SC

2.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poeng13

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
46%
4
Points from supplied form
13
0.83
Expected goals
1.46
Al KarkhErbil SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Karkh signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Erbil SC signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Al Karkh vs Erbil SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Karkh vunnet 25%,Uavgjort 30%,Erbil SC vunnet 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under