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INT Португалия - Лига 3 · Final ·

Варзим vs АД Марко 09

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score2–1Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев46%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей23%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев46% selection probability
Projected score1–1ВарзимАД Марко 09
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше64% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
46% / 31% / 23%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes АД Марко 09 win (23.2%)Двойной шанс1X76.8%1.30
Больше 36% · Меньше 64%Goals 2.5Меньше64%1.56
Да 40% · Нет 60%Обе забьютНет60%1.67
2.14 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Варзим win46%2.17
Ничья31%3.23
АД Марко 09 win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Варзим1.40

Хозяева share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 36% · Меньше 64%

АД Марко 090.74

Гости share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Нет 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Варзим

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

АД Марко 09

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalГости unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
23%
5
Points from supplied form
11
1.40
Expected goals
0.74
ВарзимАД Марко 09
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Варзим signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02АД Марко 09 signalГости unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Варзим vs АД Марко 09 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Варзим выигрыш 46%,Ничья 31%,АД Марко 09 выигрыш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · ТБ 2.5 36% · Current selection Меньше