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INT ポルトガル リーガ3 · Final ·

ヴァルジン vs ADマルコ09

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score2–1予想 1–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利46%
引き分け31%
アウェイ勝利23%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利46% selection probability
Projected score1–1ヴァルジンADマルコ09
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー64% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
46% / 31% / 23%試合結果ホーム勝利46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ADマルコ09 win (23.2%)ダブルチャンス1X76.8%1.30
オーバー 36% · アンダー 64%Goals 2.5アンダー64%1.56
はい 40% · いいえ 60%両チーム得点いいえ60%1.67
2.14 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ヴァルジン win46%2.17
引き分け31%3.23
ADマルコ09 win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ヴァルジン1.40

ホーム share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 36% · アンダー 64%

ADマルコ090.74

アウェイ share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 40% · いいえ 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ヴァルジン

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ADマルコ09

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
勝ち probability excluding draw
23%
5
Points from supplied form
11
1.40
Expected goals
0.74
ヴァルジンADマルコ09
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ヴァルジン signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ADマルコ09 signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

ヴァルジン vs ADマルコ09 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ヴァルジン 勝ち 46%,引き分け 31%,ADマルコ09 勝ち 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · オーバー 2.5 36% · Current selection アンダー