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INT Πορτογαλία - Λίγκα 3 · Final ·

Βαρζίμ vs AD Μάρκο 09

Prediction review

Γηπεδούχος form
Final score2–1Πρόβλεψη 1–1
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου46%
Ισοπαλία31%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου23%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Επιτυχία
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου46% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΒαρζίμAD Μάρκο 09
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω64% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
46% / 31% / 23%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Μάρκο 09 win (23.2%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X76.8%1.30
Άνω 36% · Κάτω 64%Goals 2.5Κάτω64%1.56
Ναι 40% · Όχι 60%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι60%1.67
2.14 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Βαρζίμ win46%2.17
Ισοπαλία31%3.23
AD Μάρκο 09 win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Βαρζίμ1.40

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 36% · Κάτω 64%

AD Μάρκο 090.74

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 40% · Όχι 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Βαρζίμ

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

AD Μάρκο 09

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
23%
5
Points from supplied form
11
1.40
Expected goals
0.74
ΒαρζίμAD Μάρκο 09
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Βαρζίμ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Μάρκο 09 signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Βαρζίμ vs AD Μάρκο 09 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Βαρζίμ νίκη 46%,Ισοπαλία 31%,AD Μάρκο 09 νίκη 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Άνω 2.5 36% · Current selection Κάτω