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SCO Шотландия - Премьершип · Матч ·

Килмарнок vs Сент-Миррен

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев45%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей26%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев45% selection probability
Projected score2–1КилмарнокСент-Миррен
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
45% / 29% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сент-Миррен win (26.3%)Двойной шанс1X73.7%1.36
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 49% · Нет 51%Обе забьютНет51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Килмарнок win45%2.22
Ничья29%3.45
Сент-Миррен win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Килмарнок1.55

Хозяева share of expected goals 61.8%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

Сент-Миррен0.96

Гости share of expected goals 38.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Нет 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Килмарнок

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Сент-Миррен

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
10
1.55
Expected goals
0.96
КилмарнокСент-Миррен
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Килмарнок signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сент-Миррен signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Килмарнок vs Сент-Миррен FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Килмарнок выигрыш 45%,Ничья 29%,Сент-Миррен выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше