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SCO Шотландия - Висша Лига · Мач ·

Килмарнък vs Ст Мирън

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина45%
Равен29%
Победа за госта26%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина45% selection probability
Projected score2–1КилмарнъкСт Мирън
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
45% / 29% / 26%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ст Мирън win (26.3%)Двоен шанс1X73.7%1.36
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 49% · Не 51%И двата отбора да отбележатНе51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Килмарнък win45%2.22
Равен29%3.45
Ст Мирън win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Килмарнък1.55

Домакин share of expected goals 61.8%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

Ст Мирън0.96

Гост share of expected goals 38.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Не 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Килмарнък

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ст Мирън

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
10
1.55
Expected goals
0.96
КилмарнъкСт Мирън
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Килмарнък signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ст Мирън signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Килмарнък vs Ст Мирън FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Килмарнък печеливш 45%,Равен 29%,Ст Мирън печеливш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под