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SCO Escocia - Premiership · Partido ·

Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local45%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante26%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local45% selection probability
Projected score2–1KilmarnockSt. Mirren
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
45% / 29% / 26%Resultado del partidoVictoria local45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St. Mirren win (26.3%)Doble Oportunidad1X73.7%1.36
Más de 46% · Menos de 54%Goals 2.5Menos de54%1.85
Sí 49% · No 51%Ambos equipos marcanNo51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Kilmarnock win45%2.22
Empate29%3.45
St. Mirren win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kilmarnock1.55

Local share of expected goals 61.8%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 46% · Menos de 54%

St. Mirren0.96

Visitante share of expected goals 38.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Kilmarnock

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

St. Mirren

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Ganado probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
10
1.55
Expected goals
0.96
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kilmarnock signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St. Mirren signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kilmarnock ganada 45%,Empate 29%,St. Mirren ganada 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Más de 2.5 46% · Current selection Menos de