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INT Турция - Суперлига · Матч ·

Истанбул Башакшехир vs Касымпаша

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.66 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев56%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей18%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Истанбул БашакшехирКасымпаша
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше50% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
56% / 26% / 18%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Касымпаша win (18.2%)Двойной шанс1X81.8%1.22
Больше 50% · Меньше 50%Goals 2.5Меньше50%2.00
Да 44% · Нет 56%Обе забьютНет56%1.79
2.66 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Истанбул Башакшехир win56%1.79
Ничья26%3.85
Касымпаша win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Истанбул Башакшехир1.94

Хозяева share of expected goals 72.9%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 50% · Меньше 50%

Касымпаша0.72

Гости share of expected goals 27.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Нет 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Истанбул Башакшехир

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Касымпаша

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.94
Expected goals
0.72
Истанбул БашакшехирКасымпаша
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Истанбул Башакшехир signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Касымпаша signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Истанбул Башакшехир vs Касымпаша FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Истанбул Башакшехир выигрыш 56%,Ничья 26%,Касымпаша выигрыш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · ТБ 2.5 50% · Current selection Меньше