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INT Türkei - Süper Lig · Spiel ·

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.66 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg56%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg18%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Istanbul BasaksehirKasimpasa
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter50% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
56% / 26% / 18%SpielergebnisHeimsieg56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kasimpasa win (18.2%)Doppelte Chance1X81.8%1.22
Über 50% · Unter 50%Goals 2.5Unter50%2.00
Ja 44% · Nein 56%Beide Teams treffenNein56%1.79
2.66 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Istanbul Basaksehir win56%1.79
Unentschieden26%3.85
Kasimpasa win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Istanbul Basaksehir1.94

Heim share of expected goals 72.9%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 50% · Unter 50%

Kasimpasa0.72

Auswärts share of expected goals 27.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nein 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Istanbul Basaksehir

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Kasimpasa

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.94
Expected goals
0.72
Istanbul BasaksehirKasimpasa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Istanbul Basaksehir signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kasimpasa signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Istanbul Basaksehir Gewinn 56%,Unentschieden 26%,Kasimpasa Gewinn 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Über 2.5 50% · Current selection Unter