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INT Turkiet - Super Lig · Match ·

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.66 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger56%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger18%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Istanbul BasaksehirKasimpasa
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
56% / 26% / 18%MatchresultatHemmaseger56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kasimpasa win (18.2%)Dubbelchans1X81.8%1.22
Över 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Ja 44% · Nej 56%Båda lagen gör målNej56%1.79
2.66 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Istanbul Basaksehir win56%1.79
Oavgjort26%3.85
Kasimpasa win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Istanbul Basaksehir1.94

Hemma share of expected goals 72.9%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 50% · Under 50%

Kasimpasa0.72

Borta share of expected goals 27.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nej 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Istanbul Basaksehir

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Kasimpasa

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.94
Expected goals
0.72
Istanbul BasaksehirKasimpasa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Istanbul Basaksehir signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kasimpasa signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Istanbul Basaksehir vunnen 56%,Oavgjort 26%,Kasimpasa vunnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Över 2.5 50% · Current selection Under