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UKR Украина - Первая лига · Матч ·

FSC Feniks-Mariupol vs Полтава

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев26%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей45%
Market-based forecastПобеда гостейTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей45% selection probability
Projected score1–1FSC Feniks-MariupolПолтава
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
26% / 28% / 45%Исход матчаПобеда гостей45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FSC Feniks-Mariupol win (26.4%)Двойной шансX273.6%1.36
Больше 39% · Меньше 61%Goals 2.5Меньше61%1.64
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FSC Feniks-Mariupol win26%3.853.6024.9%
Ничья28%3.573.2028.1%
Полтава win45%2.221.9147%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FSC Feniks-Mariupol1.00

Хозяева share of expected goals 44.4%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 39% · Меньше 61%

Полтава1.25

Гости share of expected goals 55.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

FSC Feniks-Mariupol

0.00pts / match
Сыграно2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Баллы0

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/2

Гости-context · form sequence

Полтава

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalГости matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
45%
0
Points from supplied form
5
1.00
Expected goals
1.25
FSC Feniks-MariupolПолтава
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FSC Feniks-Mariupol signalХозяева failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Полтава signalГости matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FSC Feniks-Mariupol vs Полтава FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FSC Feniks-Mariupol выигрыш 26%,Ничья 28%,Полтава выигрыш 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · ТБ 2.5 39% · Current selection Меньше