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UKR Ukraine Persha Liga · Fixture ·

FSC Feniks-Mariupol vs SC Poltava

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Away form
Home win26%
Draw28%
Away win45%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win45% selection probability
Projected score1–1FSC Feniks-MariupolSC Poltava
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
26% / 28% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FSC Feniks-Mariupol win (26.4%)Double chanceX273.6%1.36
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FSC Feniks-Mariupol win26%3.853.6024.9%
Draw28%3.573.2028.1%
SC Poltava win45%2.221.9147%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FSC Feniks-Mariupol1.00

Home share of expected goals 44.4%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

SC Poltava1.25

Away share of expected goals 55.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FSC Feniks-Mariupol

0.00pts / match
Played2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Points0

SignalHome failed to score: 2/2

Away-context · form sequence

SC Poltava

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Win probability excluding draw
45%
0
Points from supplied form
5
1.00
Expected goals
1.25
FSC Feniks-MariupolSC Poltava
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FSC Feniks-Mariupol signalHome failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Poltava signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FSC Feniks-Mariupol vs SC Poltava FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FSC Feniks-Mariupol win 26%,Draw 28%,SC Poltava win 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under