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CHE Швейцария - Лига вызова · Матч ·

Этуаль Каруж vs Невшатель Ксамакс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.81 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев39%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей36%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Этуаль КаружНевшатель Ксамакс
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
39% / 26% / 36%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Двойной шанс1274.2%1.35
Больше 53% · Меньше 47%Goals 2.5Больше53%1.89
Да 57% · Нет 43%Обе забьютДа57%1.75
2.81 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.1 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapЭтуаль Каруж winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Этуаль Каруж win39%2.562.4038.6%+0.4 pp
Ничья26%3.853.6025.7%+0.3 pp
Невшатель Ксамакс win36%2.782.6035.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Этуаль Каруж1.43

Хозяева share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 53% · Меньше 47%

Невшатель Ксамакс1.38

Гости share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Нет 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Этуаль Каруж

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Невшатель Ксамакс

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
36%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.43
Expected goals
1.38
Этуаль КаружНевшатель Ксамакс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Этуаль Каруж signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Невшатель Ксамакс signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Этуаль Каруж vs Невшатель Ксамакс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Этуаль Каруж выигрыш 39%,Ничья 26%,Невшатель Ксамакс выигрыш 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · ТБ 2.5 53% · Current selection Больше