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CHE Šveitsi Challenge League · Mäng ·

Étoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–12.81 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit39%
Viik26%
Võõrsilvõit36%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Étoile CarougeNeuchatel Xamax
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle53% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
39% / 26% / 36%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Topeltvõimalus1274.2%1.35
Üle 53% · Alla 47%Goals 2.5Üle53%1.89
Jah 57% · Ei 43%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah57%1.75
2.81 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
9.1 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapÉtoile Carouge winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Étoile Carouge win39%2.562.4038.6%+0.4 pp
Viik26%3.853.6025.7%+0.3 pp
Neuchatel Xamax win36%2.782.6035.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Étoile Carouge1.43

Kodu share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 53% · Alla 47%

Neuchatel Xamax1.38

Võõras share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 57% · Ei 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Étoile Carouge

1.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punktid5

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Neuchatel Xamax

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Võit probability excluding draw
36%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.43
Expected goals
1.38
Étoile CarougeNeuchatel Xamax
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Étoile Carouge signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Neuchatel Xamax signalKodu failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Étoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Étoile Carouge võit 39%,Viik 26%,Neuchatel Xamax võit 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Üle 2.5 53% · Current selection Üle