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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Матч ·

Тигре vs Ривер Плейт

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.89 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев28%
Ничья33%
Победа гостей39%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей39% selection probability
Projected score1–1ТигреРивер Плейт
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше71% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
28% / 33% / 39%Исход матчаПобеда гостей39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Тигре win (28%)Двойной шансX272%1.39
Больше 29% · Меньше 71%Goals 2.5Меньше71%1.41
Да 37% · Нет 63%Обе забьютНет63%1.59
1.89 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapТигре winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Тигре win28%3.573.5027.1%+0.9 pp
Ничья33%3.032.8833%0.0 pp
Ривер Плейт win39%2.562.3839.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Тигре1.06

Хозяева share of expected goals 56.1%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 29% · Меньше 71%

Ривер Плейт0.83

Гости share of expected goals 43.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 37% · Нет 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Тигре

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ривер Плейт

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
39%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.06
Expected goals
0.83
ТигреРивер Плейт
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Тигре signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ривер Плейт signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Тигре vs Ривер Плейт FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Тигре выигрыш 28%,Ничья 33%,Ривер Плейт выигрыш 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · ТБ 2.5 29% · Current selection Меньше