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UKR Украина - Первая лига · Final ·

USCA vs Нива Тернополь

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–0Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев44%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей26%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев44% selection probability
Projected score1–1USCAНива Тернополь
Expected goals1.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше87% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет78% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
44% / 30% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Нива Тернополь win (26.2%)Двойной шанс1X73.8%1.36
Больше 13% · Меньше 87%Goals 2.5Меньше87%1.15
Да 22% · Нет 78%Обе забьютНет78%1.28
1.26 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapUSCA winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
USCA win44%2.271.9545.7%-1.7 pp
Ничья30%3.333.1028.8%+1.2 pp
Нива Тернополь win26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

USCA0.57

Хозяева share of expected goals 45.2%

Total expected goals1.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 13% · Меньше 87%

Нива Тернополь0.69

Гости share of expected goals 54.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 22% · Нет 78%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

USCA

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Нива Тернополь

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Баллы4

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
4
0.57
Expected goals
0.69
USCAНива Тернополь
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01USCA signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Нива Тернополь signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

USCA vs Нива Тернополь FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

USCA выигрыш 44%,Ничья 30%,Нива Тернополь выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.26 · ТБ 2.5 13% · Current selection Меньше