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UKR Ukraine Persha Liga · Final ·

UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win44%
Draw30%
Away win26%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1UCSANyva Ternopil
Expected goals1.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under87% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo78% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 30% / 26%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nyva Ternopil win (26.2%)Double chance1X73.8%1.36
Over 13% · Under 87%Goals 2.5Under87%1.15
Yes 22% · No 78%Both teams scoreNo78%1.28
1.26 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapUCSA winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UCSA win44%2.271.9545.7%-1.7 pp
Draw30%3.333.1028.8%+1.2 pp
Nyva Ternopil win26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UCSA0.57

Home share of expected goals 45.2%

Total expected goals1.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 13% · Under 87%

Nyva Ternopil0.69

Away share of expected goals 54.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 22% · No 78%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

UCSA

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Nyva Ternopil

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
4
0.57
Expected goals
0.69
UCSANyva Ternopil
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UCSA signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nyva Ternopil signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UCSA win 44%,Draw 30%,Nyva Ternopil win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.26 · Over 2.5 13% · Current selection Under