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UKR Украйна - Първа лига · Final ·

УКСА vs Нива Тернопил

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score1–0Прогноза 1–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина44%
Равен30%
Победа за госта26%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина44% selection probability
Projected score1–1УКСАНива Тернопил
Expected goals1.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под87% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе78% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
44% / 30% / 26%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Нива Тернопил win (26.2%)Двоен шанс1X73.8%1.36
Над 13% · Под 87%Goals 2.5Под87%1.15
Да 22% · Не 78%И двата отбора да отбележатНе78%1.28
1.26 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapУКСА winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
УКСА win44%2.271.9545.7%-1.7 pp
Равен30%3.333.1028.8%+1.2 pp
Нива Тернопил win26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

УКСА0.57

Домакин share of expected goals 45.2%

Total expected goals1.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 13% · Под 87%

Нива Тернопил0.69

Гост share of expected goals 54.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 22% · Не 78%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

УКСА

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Нива Тернопил

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Точки4

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
4
0.57
Expected goals
0.69
УКСАНива Тернопил
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01УКСА signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Нива Тернопил signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

УКСА vs Нива Тернопил FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

УКСА печеливш 44%,Равен 30%,Нива Тернопил печеливш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.26 · Над 2.5 13% · Current selection Под