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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Матч ·

ЙПС vs Сапа

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score4–04.15 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев91%
Ничья7%
Победа гостей2%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 91% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев91% selection probability
Projected score4–0ЙПССапа
Expected goals4.15Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше78% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
91% / 7% / 2%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев91%1.10
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сапа win (2.5%)Двойной шанс1X97.5%1.03
Больше 78% · Меньше 22%Goals 2.5Больше78%1.28
Да 21% · Нет 79%Обе забьютНет79%1.27
4.15 total expected goalsТочный счёт4–0
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapЙПС winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ЙПС win91%1.101.0590%+1.0 pp
Ничья7%14.2913.007.3%-0.3 pp
Сапа win2%50.0034.002.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ЙПС3.90

Хозяева share of expected goals 94%

Total expected goals4.15Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 78% · Меньше 22%

Сапа0.25

Гости share of expected goals 6%

Projected score4–0BTTS splitДа 21% · Нет 79%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ЙПС

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Сапа

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
91%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
2%
11
Points from supplied form
4
3.90
Expected goals
0.25
ЙПССапа
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ЙПС signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сапа signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk9% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 7%.

Match questions

ЙПС vs Сапа FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 4–0 · 91% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ЙПС выигрыш 91%,Ничья 7%,Сапа выигрыш 2%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.15 · ТБ 2.5 78% · Current selection Больше