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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Final ·

МПС vs ЭсПа

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score2–2Прогноз 0–2
Гости form
Победа хозяев10%
Ничья15%
Победа гостей75%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 75% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей75% selection probability
Projected score0–2МПСЭсПа
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
10% / 15% / 75%Исход матчаПобеда гостей75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes МПС win (10%)Двойной шансX290%1.11
Больше 40% · Меньше 60%Goals 2.5Меньше60%1.67
Да 32% · Нет 68%Обе забьютНет68%1.47
2.28 total expected goalsТочный счёт0–2
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
МПС win10%10.009.0010.1%-0.1 pp
Ничья15%6.676.2514.5%+0.5 pp
ЭсПа win75%1.331.2075.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

МПС0.47

Хозяева share of expected goals 20.6%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 40% · Меньше 60%

ЭсПа1.81

Гости share of expected goals 79.4%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitДа 32% · Нет 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

МПС

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ЭсПа

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
10%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
75%
3
Points from supplied form
13
0.47
Expected goals
1.81
МПСЭсПа
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01МПС signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ЭсПа signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

МПС vs ЭсПа FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 0–2 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

МПС выигрыш 10%,Ничья 15%,ЭсПа выигрыш 75%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · ТБ 2.5 40% · Current selection Меньше