Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
10% / 15% / 75%Esito partitaVittoria ospite75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MPS win (10%)Doppia ChanceX290%1.11
Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%Goals 2.5Sotto60%1.67
Sì 32% · No 68%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo68%1.47
2.28 total expected goalsRisultato esatto0–2——
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MPS win10%10.009.0010.1%-0.1 pp
Pareggio15%6.676.2514.5%+0.5 pp
ESPA win75%1.331.2075.5%-0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 20.6%
Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%
Trasferta share of expected goals 79.4%
Projected score0–2BTTS splitSì 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchMPS
LLLLW
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3
SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchESPA
DWWWW
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13
SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
10%
Vinta probability excluding draw
75%3
Points from supplied form
130.47
Expected goals
1.81MPSESPA
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 15%.
Match questions
MPS vs ESPA FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 0–2 · 75% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
MPS vinta 10%，Pareggio 15%，ESPA vinta 75%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.28 · Sopra 2.5 40% · Current selection Sotto。