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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Fixture ·

JPS vs SaPa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score4–04.15 expected goals
Away form
Home win91%
Draw7%
Away win2%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 91% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win91% selection probability
Projected score4–0JPSSaPa
Expected goals4.15Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over78% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
91% / 7% / 2%Match resultHome win91%1.10
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SaPa win (2.5%)Double chance1X97.5%1.03
Over 78% · Under 22%Goals 2.5Over78%1.28
Yes 21% · No 79%Both teams scoreNo79%1.27
4.15 total expected goalsCorrect score4–0
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapJPS winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JPS win91%1.101.0590%+1.0 pp
Draw7%14.2913.007.3%-0.3 pp
SaPa win2%50.0034.002.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JPS3.90

Home share of expected goals 94%

Total expected goals4.15Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 78% · Under 22%

SaPa0.25

Away share of expected goals 6%

Projected score4–0BTTS splitYes 21% · No 79%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

JPS

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

SaPa

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
91%
Win probability excluding draw
2%
11
Points from supplied form
4
3.90
Expected goals
0.25
JPSSaPa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JPS signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SaPa signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk9% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 7%.

Match questions

JPS vs SaPa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–0 · 91% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JPS win 91%,Draw 7%,SaPa win 2%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.15 · Over 2.5 78% · Current selection Over