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FIN Finland - Kolmonen · Match ·

JPS vs SaPa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score4–04.15 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger91%
Oavgjort7%
Bortaseger2%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 91% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger91% selection probability
Projected score4–0JPSSaPa
Expected goals4.15Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över78% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
91% / 7% / 2%MatchresultatHemmaseger91%1.10
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SaPa win (2.5%)Dubbelchans1X97.5%1.03
Över 78% · Under 22%Goals 2.5Över78%1.28
Ja 21% · Nej 79%Båda lagen gör målNej79%1.27
4.15 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat4–0
9.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapJPS winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JPS win91%1.101.0590%+1.0 pp
Oavgjort7%14.2913.007.3%-0.3 pp
SaPa win2%50.0034.002.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JPS3.90

Hemma share of expected goals 94%

Total expected goals4.15Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 78% · Under 22%

SaPa0.25

Borta share of expected goals 6%

Projected score4–0BTTS splitJa 21% · Nej 79%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

JPS

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

SaPa

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
91%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
2%
11
Points from supplied form
4
3.90
Expected goals
0.25
JPSSaPa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JPS signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SaPa signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk9% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 7%.

Match questions

JPS vs SaPa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 4–0 · 91% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JPS vunnen 91%,Oavgjort 7%,SaPa vunnen 2%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.15 · Över 2.5 78% · Current selection Över