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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Матч ·

ЛДУ Кито vs Independiente del Valle

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев34%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей38%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей38% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЛДУ КитоIndependiente del Valle
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
34% / 28% / 38%Исход матчаПобеда гостей38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Двойной шанс1272%1.39
Больше 44% · Меньше 56%Goals 2.5Меньше56%1.79
Да 49% · Нет 51%Обе забьютНет51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapIndependiente del Valle winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ЛДУ Кито win34%2.942.7034.2%-0.2 pp
Ничья28%3.573.3028%0.0 pp
Independiente del Valle win38%2.632.4537.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ЛДУ Кито1.09

Хозяева share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 44% · Меньше 56%

Independiente del Valle1.34

Гости share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Нет 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ЛДУ Кито

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Independiente del Valle

3.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Баллы15

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
15
1.09
Expected goals
1.34
ЛДУ КитоIndependiente del Valle
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ЛДУ Кито signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independiente del Valle signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ЛДУ Кито vs Independiente del Valle FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ЛДУ Кито выигрыш 34%,Ничья 28%,Independiente del Valle выигрыш 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · ТБ 2.5 44% · Current selection Меньше