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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Partita ·

LDU Quito vs Independiente del Valle

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa34%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite38%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite38% selection probability
Projected score1–1LDU QuitoIndependiente del Valle
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto56% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
34% / 28% / 38%Esito partitaVittoria ospite38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Doppia Chance1272%1.39
Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%Goals 2.5Sotto56%1.79
Sì 49% · No 51%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapIndependiente del Valle winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LDU Quito win34%2.942.7034.2%-0.2 pp
Pareggio28%3.573.3028%0.0 pp
Independiente del Valle win38%2.632.4537.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LDU Quito1.09

Casa share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%

Independiente del Valle1.34

Trasferta share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

LDU Quito

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Independiente del Valle

3.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punti15

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vinta probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
15
1.09
Expected goals
1.34
LDU QuitoIndependiente del Valle
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LDU Quito signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independiente del Valle signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

LDU Quito vs Independiente del Valle FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LDU Quito vinta 34%,Pareggio 28%,Independiente del Valle vinta 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Sopra 2.5 44% · Current selection Sotto