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LVA Латвия - 1-я Лига · Матч ·

ФК Смилтене/ДЮСШ vs Вальмиера

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–34.17 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев7%
Ничья12%
Победа гостей81%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 81% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей81% selection probability
Projected score1–3ФК Смилтене/ДЮСШВальмиера
Expected goals4.17Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше79% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет50% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
7% / 12% / 81%Исход матчаПобеда гостей81%1.23
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Смилтене/ДЮСШ win (7.3%)Двойной шансX292.7%1.08
Больше 79% · Меньше 21%Goals 2.5Больше79%1.27
Да 50% · Нет 50%Обе забьютНет50%2.00
4.17 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–3
11.7 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapВальмиера winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Смилтене/ДЮСШ win7%14.2912.007.6%-0.6 pp
Ничья12%8.337.5012.2%-0.2 pp
Вальмиера win81%1.231.1480.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Смилтене/ДЮСШ0.72

Хозяева share of expected goals 17.3%

Total expected goals4.17Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 79% · Меньше 21%

Вальмиера3.45

Гости share of expected goals 82.7%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitДа 50% · Нет 50%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Смилтене/ДЮСШ

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Вальмиера

3.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Баллы15

SignalГости unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
81%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
3.45
ФК Смилтене/ДЮСШВальмиера
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Смилтене/ДЮСШ signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Вальмиера signalГости unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk19% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

ФК Смилтене/ДЮСШ vs Вальмиера FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–3 · 81% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Смилтене/ДЮСШ выигрыш 7%,Ничья 12%,Вальмиера выигрыш 81%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.17 · ТБ 2.5 79% · Current selection Больше