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LVA Lotyšsko - 1. liga · Zápas ·

FK Smiltene/BJSS vs Valmiera FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–34.17 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich7%
Remíza10%
Výhra hostí83%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 83% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí83% selection probability
Projected score1–3FK Smiltene/BJSSValmiera FC
Expected goals4.17Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac79% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie50% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
7% / 10% / 83%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Smiltene/BJSS win (6.7%)Dvojitá šancaX293.3%1.07
Viac 79% · Menej 21%Goals 2.5Viac79%1.27
Áno 50% · Nie 50%Oba tímy skórujúNie50%2.00
4.17 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–3
11.7 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Smiltene/BJSS win7%14.2913.007%0.0 pp
Remíza10%10.009.0010.1%-0.1 pp
Valmiera FC win83%1.201.1082.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Smiltene/BJSS0.72

Domáci share of expected goals 17.3%

Total expected goals4.17Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 79% · Menej 21%

Valmiera FC3.45

Hostia share of expected goals 82.7%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitÁno 50% · Nie 50%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

FK Smiltene/BJSS

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Valmiera FC

3.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Body15

SignalHostia unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Výhra probability excluding draw
83%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
3.45
FK Smiltene/BJSSValmiera FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Smiltene/BJSS signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valmiera FC signalHostia unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk17% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 10%.

Match questions

FK Smiltene/BJSS vs Valmiera FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–3 · 83% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Smiltene/BJSS výhra 7%,Remíza 10%,Valmiera FC výhra 83%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.17 · Viac 2.5 79% · Current selection Viac