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NLD Нидерланды - Эрстедивизи · Матч ·

ТОП Осс vs ФК Утрехт - Резерв

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев38%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей34%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев38% selection probability
Projected score2–1ТОП ОссФК Утрехт - Резерв
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше57% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
38% / 28% / 34%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Двойной шанс1272.3%1.38
Больше 57% · Меньше 43%Goals 2.5Больше57%1.75
Да 60% · Нет 40%Обе забьютДа60%1.67
2.97 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ТОП Осс win38%2.63
Ничья28%3.57
ФК Утрехт - Резерв win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ТОП Осс1.56

Хозяева share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 57% · Меньше 43%

ФК Утрехт - Резерв1.41

Гости share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 60% · Нет 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ТОП Осс

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Утрехт - Резерв

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.56
Expected goals
1.41
ТОП ОссФК Утрехт - Резерв
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ТОП Осс signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Утрехт - Резерв signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ТОП Осс vs ФК Утрехт - Резерв FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ТОП Осс выигрыш 38%,Ничья 28%,ФК Утрехт - Резерв выигрыш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · ТБ 2.5 57% · Current selection Больше