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NLD Ολλανδία - Eerste Divisie · Αγώνας ·

Τοπ Ος vs Ουτρέχτη Β’

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου38%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου34%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου38% selection probability
Projected score2–1Τοπ ΟςΟυτρέχτη Β’
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω57% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
38% / 28% / 34%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1272.3%1.38
Άνω 57% · Κάτω 43%Goals 2.5Άνω57%1.75
Ναι 60% · Όχι 40%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι60%1.67
2.97 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Τοπ Ος win38%2.63
Ισοπαλία28%3.57
Ουτρέχτη Β’ win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Τοπ Ος1.56

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 57% · Κάτω 43%

Ουτρέχτη Β’1.41

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 60% · Όχι 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Τοπ Ος

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Ουτρέχτη Β’

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.56
Expected goals
1.41
Τοπ ΟςΟυτρέχτη Β’
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Τοπ Ος signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ουτρέχτη Β’ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Τοπ Ος vs Ουτρέχτη Β’ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Τοπ Ος νίκη 38%,Ισοπαλία 28%,Ουτρέχτη Β’ νίκη 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Άνω 2.5 57% · Current selection Άνω