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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eerste divisie · Wedstrijd ·

Top Oss vs Jong FC Utrecht

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst38% selection probability
Projected score2–1Top OssJong FC Utrecht
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 28% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Dubbele Kans1272.3%1.38
Boven 57% · Onder 43%Goals 2.5Boven57%1.75
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
2.97 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Top Oss win38%2.63
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Jong FC Utrecht win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Top Oss1.56

Thuis share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 57% · Onder 43%

Jong FC Utrecht1.41

Uit share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Top Oss

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Jong FC Utrecht

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.56
Expected goals
1.41
Top OssJong FC Utrecht
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Top Oss signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jong FC Utrecht signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Top Oss vs Jong FC Utrecht FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Top Oss gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 28%,Jong FC Utrecht gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Boven 2.5 57% · Current selection Boven