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GEO Грузия - Эровнули лига · Final ·

ФК Гагра vs Спаэри

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–1Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей34%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК ГаграСпаэри
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 27% / 34%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Двойной шанс1273.4%1.36
Больше 48% · Меньше 52%Goals 2.5Меньше52%1.92
Да 53% · Нет 47%Обе забьютДа53%1.89
2.59 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapСпаэри winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Гагра win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp
Ничья27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
Спаэри win34%2.942.7532.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Гагра1.14

Хозяева share of expected goals 44%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 48% · Меньше 52%

Спаэри1.45

Гости share of expected goals 56%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Нет 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Гагра

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Спаэри

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
34%
9
Points from supplied form
2
1.14
Expected goals
1.45
ФК ГаграСпаэри
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Гагра signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Спаэри signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

ФК Гагра vs Спаэри FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Гагра выигрыш 40%,Ничья 27%,Спаэри выигрыш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · ТБ 2.5 48% · Current selection Меньше