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GEO Georgië - Erovnuli Liga · Final ·

FC Gagra vs FC Spaeri

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–1Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC GagraFC Spaeri
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 27% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Dubbele Kans1273.4%1.36
Boven 48% · Onder 52%Goals 2.5Onder52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.59 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapFC Spaeri winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Gagra win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp
Gelijkspel27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
FC Spaeri win34%2.942.7532.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Gagra1.14

Thuis share of expected goals 44%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 48% · Onder 52%

FC Spaeri1.45

Uit share of expected goals 56%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Gagra

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FC Spaeri

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
9
Points from supplied form
2
1.14
Expected goals
1.45
FC GagraFC Spaeri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Gagra signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Spaeri signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FC Gagra vs FC Spaeri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Gagra gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 27%,FC Spaeri gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Boven 2.5 48% · Current selection Onder