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GEO Georgia Erovnuli Liga · Final ·

FC Gagra vs FC Spaeri

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–1Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win40%
Draw27%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC GagraFC Spaeri
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 27% / 34%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Double chance1273.4%1.36
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.59 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapFC Spaeri winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Gagra win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp
Draw27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
FC Spaeri win34%2.942.7532.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Gagra1.14

Home share of expected goals 44%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

FC Spaeri1.45

Away share of expected goals 56%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Gagra

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Spaeri

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
9
Points from supplied form
2
1.14
Expected goals
1.45
FC GagraFC Spaeri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Gagra signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Spaeri signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FC Gagra vs FC Spaeri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Gagra win 40%,Draw 27%,FC Spaeri win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under