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CHL Chile Primera B · Матч ·

Унион Сан-Фелипе vs Депортес Реколета

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев28%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей45%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Унион Сан-ФелипеДепортес Реколета
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше55% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
28% / 27% / 45%Исход матчаПобеда гостей45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Двойной шанс1273%1.37
Больше 45% · Меньше 55%Goals 2.5Меньше55%1.82
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.5 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.8%Largest probability gapДепортес Реколета winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Унион Сан-Фелипе win28%3.573.2027.7%+0.3 pp
Ничья27%3.703.3026.9%+0.1 pp
Депортес Реколета win45%2.221.9545.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Унион Сан-Фелипе1.24

Хозяева share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 45% · Меньше 55%

Депортес Реколета1.24

Гости share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Унион Сан-Фелипе

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Депортес Реколета

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Баллы3

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
45%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.24
Expected goals
1.24
Унион Сан-ФелипеДепортес Реколета
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Унион Сан-Фелипе signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Депортес Реколета signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Унион Сан-Фелипе vs Депортес Реколета FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Унион Сан-Фелипе выигрыш 28%,Ничья 27%,Депортес Реколета выигрыш 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · ТБ 2.5 45% · Current selection Меньше