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CHL Chile Primera B · Spiel ·

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg28%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg45%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Union San FelipeDeportes Recoleta
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
28% / 27% / 45%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Doppelte Chance1273%1.37
Über 45% · Unter 55%Goals 2.5Unter55%1.82
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.5 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.8%Largest probability gapDeportes Recoleta winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union San Felipe win28%3.573.2027.7%+0.3 pp
Unentschieden27%3.703.3026.9%+0.1 pp
Deportes Recoleta win45%2.221.9545.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union San Felipe1.24

Heim share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 45% · Unter 55%

Deportes Recoleta1.24

Auswärts share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Union San Felipe

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Deportes Recoleta

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkte3

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
45%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.24
Expected goals
1.24
Union San FelipeDeportes Recoleta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union San Felipe signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportes Recoleta signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union San Felipe Gewinn 28%,Unentschieden 27%,Deportes Recoleta Gewinn 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Über 2.5 45% · Current selection Unter