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CHL Chile Primera B · Match ·

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile28%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur45%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Union San FelipeDeportes Recoleta
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
28% / 27% / 45%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Double chance1273%1.37
Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%Goals 2.5Moins de55%1.82
Oui 51% · Non 49%Les deux équipes marquentOui51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.8%Largest probability gapDeportes Recoleta winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union San Felipe win28%3.573.2027.7%+0.3 pp
Nul27%3.703.3026.9%+0.1 pp
Deportes Recoleta win45%2.221.9545.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union San Felipe1.24

Domicile share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%

Deportes Recoleta1.24

Extérieur share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 51% · Non 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Union San Felipe

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Deportes Recoleta

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Gagné probability excluding draw
45%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.24
Expected goals
1.24
Union San FelipeDeportes Recoleta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union San Felipe signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportes Recoleta signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union San Felipe victoire 28%,Nul 27%,Deportes Recoleta victoire 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Plus de 2.5 45% · Current selection Moins de