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DEU Германия - Бундеслига II · Round 1 ·

Дармштадт vs Хольштайн Киль

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев43%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей30%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев43% selection probability
Projected score2–1ДармштадтХольштайн Киль
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
43% / 27% / 30%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Двойной шанс1273.3%1.36
Больше 54% · Меньше 46%Goals 2.5Больше54%1.85
Да 55% · Нет 45%Обе забьютДа55%1.82
2.83 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.4 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapХольштайн Киль winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Дармштадт win43%2.332.2042.8%+0.2 pp
Ничья27%3.703.5026.9%+0.1 pp
Хольштайн Киль win30%3.333.1030.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Дармштадт1.73

Хозяева share of expected goals 61.1%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 54% · Меньше 46%

Хольштайн Киль1.10

Гости share of expected goals 38.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 55% · Нет 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Дармштадт

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Хольштайн Киль

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.73
Expected goals
1.10
ДармштадтХольштайн Киль
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Дармштадт signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Хольштайн Киль signalГости matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Дармштадт vs Хольштайн Киль FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Дармштадт выигрыш 43%,Ничья 27%,Хольштайн Киль выигрыш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · ТБ 2.5 54% · Current selection Больше