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DEU Γερμανία - Μπουντεσλίγκα ΙΙ · Round 1 ·

Ντάρμσταντ vs Χόλστεϊν Κίελ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου43%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου30%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου43% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΝτάρμσταντΧόλστεϊν Κίελ
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω54% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
43% / 27% / 30%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1273.3%1.36
Άνω 54% · Κάτω 46%Goals 2.5Άνω54%1.85
Ναι 55% · Όχι 45%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι55%1.82
2.83 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapΧόλστεϊν Κίελ winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ντάρμσταντ win43%2.332.2042.8%+0.2 pp
Ισοπαλία27%3.703.5026.9%+0.1 pp
Χόλστεϊν Κίελ win30%3.333.1030.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ντάρμσταντ1.73

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 61.1%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 54% · Κάτω 46%

Χόλστεϊν Κίελ1.10

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 38.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 55% · Όχι 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ντάρμσταντ

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Χόλστεϊν Κίελ

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.73
Expected goals
1.10
ΝτάρμσταντΧόλστεϊν Κίελ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ντάρμσταντ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Χόλστεϊν Κίελ signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ντάρμσταντ vs Χόλστεϊν Κίελ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ντάρμσταντ νίκη 43%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Χόλστεϊν Κίελ νίκη 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Άνω 2.5 54% · Current selection Άνω