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DEU Nemecko - Bundesliga II · Round 1 ·

Darmstadt vs Holstein Kiel

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich43%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostí30%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich43% selection probability
Projected score2–1DarmstadtHolstein Kiel
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac54% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
43% / 27% / 30%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Dvojitá šanca1273.3%1.36
Viac 54% · Menej 46%Goals 2.5Viac54%1.85
Áno 55% · Nie 45%Oba tímy skórujúÁno55%1.82
2.84 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
10.4 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapHolstein Kiel winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Darmstadt win43%2.332.2042.8%+0.2 pp
Remíza27%3.703.5026.9%+0.1 pp
Holstein Kiel win30%3.333.1030.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Darmstadt1.73

Domáci share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 54% · Menej 46%

Holstein Kiel1.11

Hostia share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 55% · Nie 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Darmstadt

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Holstein Kiel

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalHostia matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Výhra probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.73
Expected goals
1.11
DarmstadtHolstein Kiel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Darmstadt signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Holstein Kiel signalHostia matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Darmstadt vs Holstein Kiel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Darmstadt výhra 43%,Remíza 27%,Holstein Kiel výhra 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Viac 2.5 54% · Current selection Viac