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INT Ирак - Премьер-лига · Final ·

Аль-Завраа vs Нафт Майсан

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score4–0Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев45%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей25%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 45% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Аль-ЗаврааНафт Майсан
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
45% / 30% / 25%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Нафт Майсан win (25.1%)Двойной шанс1X74.9%1.34
Больше 39% · Меньше 61%Goals 2.5Меньше61%1.64
Да 44% · Нет 56%Обе забьютНет56%1.79
2.27 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.9 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Аль-Завраа win45%2.22
Ничья30%3.33
Нафт Майсан win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аль-Завраа1.43

Хозяева share of expected goals 63%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 39% · Меньше 61%

Нафт Майсан0.84

Гости share of expected goals 37%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Нет 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Аль-Завраа

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Нафт Майсан

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
25%
2
Points from supplied form
6
1.43
Expected goals
0.84
Аль-ЗаврааНафт Майсан
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аль-Завраа signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Нафт Майсан signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Аль-Завраа vs Нафт Майсан FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аль-Завраа выигрыш 45%,Ничья 30%,Нафт Майсан выигрыш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · ТБ 2.5 39% · Current selection Меньше