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INT Ирак - Премьер-лига · Final ·

ФК Аль-Нафт vs Дахук

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–1Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев34%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей35%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 35% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей35% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК Аль-НафтДахук
Expected goals1.74Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше75% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
34% / 31% / 35%Исход матчаПобеда гостей35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.1%)Двойной шанс1268.9%1.45
Больше 25% · Меньше 75%Goals 2.5Меньше75%1.33
Да 34% · Нет 66%Обе забьютНет66%1.52
1.74 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Аль-Нафт win34%2.942.6334%0.0 pp
Ничья31%3.232.9030.9%+0.1 pp
Дахук win35%2.862.5535.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Аль-Нафт0.89

Хозяева share of expected goals 51.1%

Total expected goals1.74Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 25% · Меньше 75%

Дахук0.85

Гости share of expected goals 48.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 34% · Нет 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Аль-Нафт

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Дахук

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
35%
11
Points from supplied form
3
0.89
Expected goals
0.85
ФК Аль-НафтДахук
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Аль-Нафт signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Дахук signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

ФК Аль-Нафт vs Дахук FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Аль-Нафт выигрыш 34%,Ничья 31%,Дахук выигрыш 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.74 · ТБ 2.5 25% · Current selection Меньше