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INT Irak - Stars League · Final ·

Al Zawra'a vs Naft Maysan

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score4–0Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst45%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst25%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 45% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al Zawra'aNaft Maysan
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
45% / 30% / 25%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Naft Maysan win (25.1%)Dubbele Kans1X74.9%1.34
Boven 39% · Onder 61%Goals 2.5Onder61%1.64
Ja 44% · Nee 56%Beide teams scorenNee56%1.79
2.27 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Al Zawra'a win45%2.22
Gelijkspel30%3.33
Naft Maysan win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Zawra'a1.43

Thuis share of expected goals 63%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 39% · Onder 61%

Naft Maysan0.84

Uit share of expected goals 37%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nee 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Al Zawra'a

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Naft Maysan

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
25%
2
Points from supplied form
6
1.43
Expected goals
0.84
Al Zawra'aNaft Maysan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Zawra'a signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Naft Maysan signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Al Zawra'a vs Naft Maysan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Zawra'a gewonnen 45%,Gelijkspel 30%,Naft Maysan gewonnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Boven 2.5 39% · Current selection Onder