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INT Argentina - Liga Profesional - Rezerve · Meci ·

Quilmes - Rezerve vs CA Independiente - Rezerve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.63 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde31%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți41%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Quilmes - RezerveCA Independiente - Rezerve
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub78% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
31% / 28% / 41%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Șansă dublă1272.4%1.38
Peste 22% · Sub 78%Goals 2.5Sub78%1.28
Da 31% · Nu 69%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu69%1.45
1.63 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Quilmes - Rezerve win31%3.232.8031.7%-0.7 pp
Egal28%3.573.3026.9%+1.1 pp
CA Independiente - Rezerve win41%2.442.1541.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Quilmes - Rezerve0.69

Gazde share of expected goals 42.3%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 22% · Sub 78%

CA Independiente - Rezerve0.94

Oaspeți share of expected goals 57.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 31% · Nu 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Quilmes - Rezerve

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

CA Independiente - Rezerve

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Câștig probability excluding draw
41%
8
Points from supplied form
13
0.69
Expected goals
0.94
Quilmes - RezerveCA Independiente - Rezerve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Quilmes - Rezerve signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Independiente - Rezerve signalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Quilmes - Rezerve vs CA Independiente - Rezerve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Quilmes - Rezerve câștig 31%,Egal 28%,CA Independiente - Rezerve câștig 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · Peste 2.5 22% · Current selection Sub