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INT Argentinien - Liga Profesional - Reserve · Spiel ·

Quilmes - Reserve vs CA Independiente - Reserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.63 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg31%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg41%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Quilmes - ReserveCA Independiente - Reserve
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter78% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
31% / 28% / 41%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Doppelte Chance1272.4%1.38
Über 22% · Unter 78%Goals 2.5Unter78%1.28
Ja 31% · Nein 69%Beide Teams treffenNein69%1.45
1.63 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Quilmes - Reserve win31%3.232.8031.7%-0.7 pp
Unentschieden28%3.573.3026.9%+1.1 pp
CA Independiente - Reserve win41%2.442.1541.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Quilmes - Reserve0.69

Heim share of expected goals 42.3%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 22% · Unter 78%

CA Independiente - Reserve0.94

Auswärts share of expected goals 57.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 31% · Nein 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Quilmes - Reserve

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

CA Independiente - Reserve

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
41%
8
Points from supplied form
13
0.69
Expected goals
0.94
Quilmes - ReserveCA Independiente - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Quilmes - Reserve signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Independiente - Reserve signalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Quilmes - Reserve vs CA Independiente - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Quilmes - Reserve Gewinn 31%,Unentschieden 28%,CA Independiente - Reserve Gewinn 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · Über 2.5 22% · Current selection Unter