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INT Argentina - Liga Profesional riserve · Partita ·

Quilmes riserve vs CA Independiente riserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.63 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa31%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite41%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Quilmes riserveCA Independiente riserve
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto78% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
31% / 28% / 41%Esito partitaVittoria ospite41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Doppia Chance1272.4%1.38
Sopra 22% · Sotto 78%Goals 2.5Sotto78%1.28
Sì 31% · No 69%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo69%1.45
1.63 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Quilmes riserve win31%3.232.8031.7%-0.7 pp
Pareggio28%3.573.3026.9%+1.1 pp
CA Independiente riserve win41%2.442.1541.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Quilmes riserve0.69

Casa share of expected goals 42.3%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 22% · Sotto 78%

CA Independiente riserve0.94

Trasferta share of expected goals 57.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Quilmes riserve

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

CA Independiente riserve

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vinta probability excluding draw
41%
8
Points from supplied form
13
0.69
Expected goals
0.94
Quilmes riserveCA Independiente riserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Quilmes riserve signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Independiente riserve signalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Quilmes riserve vs CA Independiente riserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Quilmes riserve vinta 31%,Pareggio 28%,CA Independiente riserve vinta 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · Sopra 2.5 22% · Current selection Sotto