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INT Argentina - Liga Profesional - Reservas · Partida ·

Quilmes - Reservas vs CA Independiente - Reservas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.63 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa31%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante41%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Quilmes - ReservasCA Independiente - Reservas
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo78% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
31% / 28% / 41%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Dupla Chance1272.4%1.38
Acima 22% · Abaixo 78%Goals 2.5Abaixo78%1.28
Sim 31% · Não 69%Ambas as equipes marcamNão69%1.45
1.63 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
10.0 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Quilmes - Reservas win31%3.232.8031.7%-0.7 pp
Empate28%3.573.3026.9%+1.1 pp
CA Independiente - Reservas win41%2.442.1541.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Quilmes - Reservas0.69

Mandante share of expected goals 42.3%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 22% · Abaixo 78%

CA Independiente - Reservas0.94

Visitante share of expected goals 57.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 31% · Não 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Quilmes - Reservas

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CA Independiente - Reservas

2.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontos13

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
41%
8
Points from supplied form
13
0.69
Expected goals
0.94
Quilmes - ReservasCA Independiente - Reservas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Quilmes - Reservas signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Independiente - Reservas signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Quilmes - Reservas vs CA Independiente - Reservas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Quilmes - Reservas ganhou 31%,Empate 28%,CA Independiente - Reservas ganhou 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · Acima 2.5 22% · Current selection Abaixo