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TZA Tanzania - Premier League · Final ·

Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji FC

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score2–0Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde39%
Egal32%
Victorie oaspeți29%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Mbeya CityDodoma Jiji FC
Expected goals1.59Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub78% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
39% / 32% / 29%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dodoma Jiji FC win (29%)Șansă dublă1X71%1.41
Peste 22% · Sub 78%Goals 2.5Sub78%1.28
Da 30% · Nu 70%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu70%1.43
1.59 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapMbeya City winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mbeya City win39%2.562.2040.8%-1.8 pp
Egal32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp
Dodoma Jiji FC win29%3.453.2028%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mbeya City0.65

Gazde share of expected goals 40.9%

Total expected goals1.59Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 22% · Sub 78%

Dodoma Jiji FC0.94

Oaspeți share of expected goals 59.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 30% · Nu 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Mbeya City

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Dodoma Jiji FC

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Câștig probability excluding draw
29%
2
Points from supplied form
8
0.65
Expected goals
0.94
Mbeya CityDodoma Jiji FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mbeya City signalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dodoma Jiji FC signalGazde failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mbeya City câștig 39%,Egal 32%,Dodoma Jiji FC câștig 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.59 · Peste 2.5 22% · Current selection Sub