Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 32% / 29%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dodoma Jiji FC win (29%)Double chance1X71%1.41
Over 22% · Under 78%Goals 2.5Under78%1.28
Yes 30% · No 70%Both teams scoreNo70%1.43
1.59 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapMbeya City winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mbeya City win39%2.562.2040.8%-1.8 pp
Draw32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp
Dodoma Jiji FC win29%3.453.2028%+1.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 40.9%
Total expected goals1.59Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 22% · Under 78%
Away share of expected goals 59.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 30% · No 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchMbeya City
LDDLL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchDodoma Jiji FC
DLWDW
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome failed to score: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Win probability excluding draw
29%2
Points from supplied form
80.65
Expected goals
0.94Mbeya CityDodoma Jiji FC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.
Match questions
Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji FC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Mbeya City win 39%，Draw 32%，Dodoma Jiji FC win 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.59 · Over 2.5 22% · Current selection Under。