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TZA Tanzania Premier League · Fixture ·

Kagera Sugar vs Singida Black Stars

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.05 expected goals
Away form
Home win22%
Draw28%
Away win50%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 50% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Kagera SugarSingida Black Stars
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
22% / 28% / 50%Match resultAway win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kagera Sugar win (21.9%)Double chanceX278.1%1.28
Over 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Yes 41% · No 59%Both teams scoreNo59%1.69
2.05 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
7.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kagera Sugar win22%4.554.5019.9%
Draw28%3.573.2527.5%
Singida Black Stars win50%2.001.7052.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kagera Sugar0.85

Home share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 34% · Under 66%

Singida Black Stars1.20

Away share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Kagera Sugar

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalAway won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Singida Black Stars

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Win probability excluding draw
50%
0
Points from supplied form
9
0.85
Expected goals
1.20
Kagera SugarSingida Black Stars
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kagera Sugar signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Singida Black Stars signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Kagera Sugar vs Singida Black Stars FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kagera Sugar win 22%,Draw 28%,Singida Black Stars win 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · Over 2.5 34% · Current selection Under